Zayakina Raisa Alexandrovna
Кандидат философских наук, Cand. Sci. (Philos.), Assoc. Prof., of the Department of Constitutional and International Law, Novosibirsk State Technical University, raisa_varygina@mail.ru, Novosibirsk
Savinykh Galina P.
Кандидат педагогических наук, Cand. Sci. (Pedag.), Senior Researcher the Center for Educational Quality Assessment and Management Systems, Federal Institute for Educational Development of the Russian Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, 7069494@mail.ru, Moscow

Predictors of collapse of social networks with national university participation

The article addresses the possibility of anticipating destructive processes leading to the collapse of social networks with national university participation. Social topology and, in particular, the procedure of creating a potential network design serve as a theoretical-methodological basis for the research. The mechanism of applying a potential network design is based on fixing the characteristics of network stability by means of prognostic parameters, which are called predictors. The predictors, which are capable of identifying the key factors of social network collapse, are divided into manageable and unmanageable ones in accordance with the degree of external control probability. The manageable predictors include decline of resource exchange, teleological disconnection between network actors, objective social impediments. The unmanageable predictors comprise axiological disconnection between actors, radical change of everyday background practices, and fragmentation of forms of social activity of actors. The group of manageable predictors provides a good prospect of their usage for external directed influence on network characteristics, in particular, on a loss of network stability parameters.
network approach; social topology; a potential network design; manageable and unmanageable predictors; national university

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